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Economic Growth: Climate Change

Asked by Steve WitherdenLabourTreasuryTabled Answered 28 April 2025UIN 45316

The question

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, what assessment she has made of the potential impact of climate change on economic growth.

Answered by Emma Reynolds

Illustrative analysis in the Office for Budget Responsibility's 2024 Fiscal Risks and Sustainability Report suggests that UK GDP could be around 3% lower by 2074 under a below 2°C warming scenario and around 5% lower under a below 3°C warming scenario. The publicly available report contains further analysis of the fiscal impact of climate change as well as impacts affecting businesses and individuals such as labour productivity and health.

This Government is committed to mitigating the negative impacts of climate change. The transition to net zero will support the creation of jobs across the UK, protect the economy from future price shocks and deliver a range of social and health benefits.

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