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Prison Accommodation

Asked by Damian HindsConservativeMinistry of JusticeTabled Answered 15 July 2025UIN 65240

The question

To ask the Secretary of State for Justice, what (a) assumptions and (b) formulae she uses to model prison place need.

Answered by Sir Nicholas Dakin

On 11 December 2024, we published the first annual statement on prison capacity, fulfilling our commitment to increased transparency, holding this government and future governments to account.

The demand projections used in the annual statement are based on population projection Accredited Official Statistics which are published at: Prison Population Projections: 2024 to 2029 - GOV.UK. Further detail on the modelling methodology is contained within the publication, including an overview of the assumptions used.

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