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Artificial Intelligence: Impact Assessments

Asked by Dame Caroline DinenageConservativeTreasuryTabled Answered 4 September 2025UIN 70405

The question

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, will she make it her policy to commission the OBR to produce an AI impact assessment.

Answered by Emma Reynolds

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) is the Government's official independent forecaster responsible for assessing the UK economic and fiscal outlook. As an independent body, the judgements underpinning these forecasts, including potential estimates of the impacts of Artificial Intelligence (AI), are for the OBR and the OBR has discretion over the contents of its publications.

In the OBR’s latest Fiscal Risks and Sustainability Report, published on 8 July 2025, it was noted that if productivity grows faster than expected it could significantly improve the outlook for the public finances. The OBR also note that the “rapid development and dissemination of artificial intelligence could be one driver of upside risk to future productivity growth, although the magnitude and timing of the potential boost to productivity remains highly uncertain”.

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