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Consumer Prices Index

Asked by Mr Richard HoldenConservativeTreasuryTabled Answered 28 January 2026UIN 107775

The question

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, with reference to Chart 3.4 in the Office for Budget Responsibility’s Economic and Fiscal Outlook, what the annual percentage point contributions are to CPI inflation in each year by policy measure and output gap.

Answered by Lucy Rigby

The contribution of each policy measure to CPI inflation in the Office for Budget Responsibility can be found in their supporting documents at the following link:

https://obr.uk/download/november-2025-economic-and-fiscal-outlook-charts-and-tables-chapter-3/?tmstv=1769169856

In total, the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast that Budget measures will reduce CPI inflation by 0.4pp in 2026/27, with the most significant impact coming from the reduction in energy bills.

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