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Business: Recruitment

Asked by Gareth DaviesConservativeTreasuryTabled Answered 10 June 2026UIN 6838

The question

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, what recent assessment she has made of the potential impact of employer national insurance contribution increases on business recruitment.

Answered by Dan Tomlinson

In their October 2024 Economic and Fiscal Outlook, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) estimated the impact that the increase in employer NICs would have on labour supply. In their latest forecast (taking into account all government policies expected to have a significant impact), the OBR expect that employment levels will rise in every year of the forecast, reaching 35.3m in 2030-31.

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